2020年9月船舶拍卖市场评述-亚博ag旗舰厅

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2020年9月船舶拍卖市场评述

从9月制造业pmi数据来看，国内工业增速进一步回升，基建、地产投资单月增速仍然偏强，经济继续向正常回归。欧洲疫情出现第二波爆发，支撑防疫物资出口，前两月出口偏强的局面在9月持续，加上煤炭等干散货需求紧俏，运输市场行情波动上扬。本月中国船舶拍卖市场累计拍卖74艘次，成交41艘次，成交率55.4%，起拍价累计约37005万人民币，成交额累计27039万人民币，各项拍卖数据均较上月有较大幅度的回升。

一、运输市场行情震荡上扬，船东拍船热情增长

“金九银十”的消费旺季带动下游补库节奏加快，运输需求提振，沿海运输市场总体呈上涨走势，国际运输市场在后疫情时代表现异常波动，但较上半年行情明显改善，船东信心有所增强。根据拍船网（www.shipbid.net）统计数据^[1]，9月，中国船舶拍卖市场累计拍卖74艘次，环比增加33艘次，同比减少1艘次。其中，干散货类船舶拍卖18艘次，环比减少2艘次，液货类船舶拍卖18艘次，环比增加16艘次。成交率方面，本月累计成交41艘次，环比减少22艘次，成交率为55.4%，成交率有所上升。

拍卖金额较上月大幅回升。9月，中国船舶拍卖市场起拍价累计约37005万人民币，环比增加20286万人民币，较上月大幅回升，同比减少19471万人民币；成交额累计27039万人民币，环比增加11033万人民币，同比减少7396万人民币。

图1 中国船舶拍卖市场拍卖艘次情况

图2 中国船舶拍卖市场拍卖金额情况

二、船舶拍卖市场行情上扬，沿海干散货船表现相对较好

全球经济整体呈修复趋势，欧美确诊人数虽有反弹，但检测力度显著增强，病死率明显下降，劳动力市场开始好转，欧洲制造业pmi指数正在回升。全球货币宽松政策在经历半年多的抬升后继续增长，但拐点已渐行渐近，货币宽松退潮过程预计相对温和，但防疫物资、粮食缺口依然存在，基础生活保障物资物价上涨仍将出现。国内外运输市场受经济复苏的推动，绝大对数航线已恢复至往年同期水平，船舶交易热情也逐步上扬。

司法拍卖方面，本月拍卖船舶68艘次，成交36艘次，成交率52.9%，起拍价总额17281万元，成交总额9481万元，本月由于12艘“中粤油”系列内河油船开拍，液货类船舶拍卖数量大增；商业拍卖方面，本月拍卖船舶6艘次，成交5艘次，成交率83.3%，起拍价总额19724万元，成交总额17557万元，成交额保持在月度较高水平。

重点船舶拍卖情况，干散货船舶方面，巴拿马型散货船“ningbo pioneer”最终以297万美元成交，“通成603”和“通成604”两艘甲板货船以1316万人民币和1523万人民币高溢价成交，溢价率超90%。油运船舶方面，外籍成品油船“xin sheng”以268万美元成交，广州海事法院“中粤油”系列12艘内河成品油船均以单船100万人民币左右的价格成交。其他船型方面，客滚类船舶成交7艘次，渔业用船成交3艘次，工程类船舶成交5艘次，环比均有较大幅度的增加。

「9月拍卖成交船舶案例」

「10月拍卖船舶预告」

monthly analysis of ship auction market in china

september 2020

according to the purchasing managers' index (pmi) of manufacturing in september, domestic industrial growth picks up further, infrastructure and real estate investment grow at a relatively strong rate in this month, and the economy continues to go back to normal. the second peak of the epidemic outbreak in europe makes the export of epidemic prevention materials grow. the strong export activities in the previous two months continue in september. the transport market rises with fluctuation for strong demand of coal and other dry bulk commodities. this month, the ship auction market in china has seen a total of 74 auctions and 41 transactions, with a transaction rate of 55.4%. the total starting price is about ￥370.05m, while the total transaction price is ￥270.39m. the data have rebounded significantly from last month.

the transportation market rises with fluctuations, and ship owners' enthusiasm for auctioning ships increases.

in the consumption of so-called "golden september" and "silver october", driven by the accelerated pace of replenishment in the downstream, the transport demand is boosted, and the coastal transport market is generally on the rise. while the international transport market shows abnormal fluctuations in the post-epidemic era, but it’s significantly improved compared with the market in the first half of the year, and shipowners' confidence has been enhanced. according to data from www.shipbid.net¹, the total ship auctions of september are 74，which increase 33 mom but decrease 1 yoy. among them, the bulk carrier auctions are 18, which decrease 2 mom. the chemical & tanker auctions are 18, which increase 16 mom. in terms of transaction rate, there are 41 auctions traded in september, which decrease 22 mom, with slightly rising transaction rate of 55.4%.

in september, the transaction price rebounds sharply from last month. the total starting price of the chinese ship auction market is approximately ￥370.05m, with a significant increase of ￥202.86m mom but decreases ￥194.71m yoy. the total transaction price is ￥270.39m, which increases ￥110.33m mom but decreases ￥73.96m yoy.

chart1 total of ship auctions in china

chart2 total price of ship auction in china

the ship auction market has risen, and coastal dry bulk carriers are in relatively good condition.

the overall global economy is showing a trend of recovery. although the number of confirmed cases of covid-19 in europe and the united states has rebounded, the testing have enhanced significantly, at the same time, the fatality rate has dropped, the labor market has begun to improve, and the pmi of european manufacturing is picking up. the easing monetary policy has continued to impel all over the world for more than half a year, the turning point of it has gradually approached and it is expected to end mildly. however the shortage of epidemic prevention materials and food still exists and the price of daily necessities will still rising. driven by the economic recovery in the domestic and international transportation markets, most routes have returned to the same level as in previous years, and the enthusiasm of ship trading has gradually increased.

in terms of judicial auction, there are 68 ships auctioned in september, of which 36 ships are sold, with the transaction rate of 52.9%. the total starting price is ￥172.81m, and the total transaction price is ￥94.81m. this month has seen a surge in sales of 12 inland tanker auctions of "zhongyueyou" series. in terms of commercial auctions, there are 6 ships auctioned, of which 5 ships are sold, with the transaction rate of 83.3%. the total starting price is ￥197.24m, the total transaction price is ￥175.57m, with a high premium rate.

followed are some specific auctions. in terms of bulk carriers, the panamax bulk carrier ningbo pioneer is sold at $2.97m. deck cargo ships of tongcheng 603 and tongcheng 604 are sold at ￥13.16m and ￥15.23m respectively with high premium rate of over 90%. in terms of tankers, the oil product carrier xin sheng of foreign registration is sold at $2.68m. the guangzhou maritime court has sold 12 inland tankers of zhongyueyou series for around ￥1.0m each. in terms of other ships, there are 7 passenger ships, 3 fishing ships, 5 engineering ships traded, both increasing sharply month-on-month.

samples of ship auctions

preview of ship auctions