2021年8月船舶拍卖市场评述
今年夏季,南方地区高温天气不常见,居民用电量回落,但在工业用电的有力支撑下,电厂日耗仍处于高位。电厂根据煤价走势少量补库,总体电煤库存仍处于低位运行的状态,但较上月库存有所增长。港口煤炭价格持续上涨后回稳,沿海散货运输市场较上月运价小幅上扬,国际干散货市场则延续上涨态势,当前船东信心较足,干散货市场在售船舶较少,船价高位。油运市场表现清淡,船价有所下滑。总体来看,中国船舶拍卖市场累计拍卖63艘次,成交39艘次,成交率61.9%,起拍价累计约42791万人民币,成交额累计24234万人民币,成交情况较上月有所增长。
一、运输市场总体稳中带涨,船东多以运营为主
国际干散货市场火爆行情继续拉动内外贸兼营船舶外流,国内沿海运价小幅上涨,船东情绪较为乐观。根据拍船网(www.shipbid.net)统计数据,8月,中国船舶拍卖市场累计拍卖63艘次,环比减少11艘次,同比增加16艘次。其中,干散货类船舶拍卖18艘次,环比减少3艘次,液货类船舶拍卖6艘次,环比减少2艘次。成交率方面,本月累计成交39艘次,环比增加5艘次,成交率为61.9%,成交率环比增幅明显。
拍卖成交额继续上扬。8月,中国船舶拍卖市场起拍价累计42791万人民币,环比增加5015万人民币,同比增加25115万人民币;成交额累计24234万人民币,环比增加3636万人民币,同比增加7745万人民币。
图1 中国船舶拍卖市场拍卖艘次情况
图2 中国船舶拍卖市场拍卖金额情况
二、国际干散货市场依旧火爆,带动沿海运输市场行情上扬
8月中旬,国际干散货市场热度再次快速上扬,bdi指数回升至2010年以来的最高水平。市场总体处于“两极分化”状态,铁矿石交易市场较为活跃,运价连创今年新高,但对于铁矿石价格而言,处于2020年11月以来的最低水平。沿海运输市场受海外市场影响,运价较上月有所上扬,总体处于较为合理的水平。液货运输市场方面,8月油品需求较为平淡,运价有所下滑,9月,随着中国秋季双节临近,下游补库操作将会增加,油运市场有望小幅回暖。
司法拍卖方面,本月拍卖船舶34艘次,成交21艘次,起拍价总额30414万元,成交总额14905万元;商业拍卖方面,本月拍卖船舶29艘次,成交18艘次,起拍价总额12393万元,成交总额9374万元。本月司法拍卖和商业拍卖环比均有较大涨幅,司法拍卖成交多艘工程类船舶,商业拍卖有多艘大吨位散货船成交。
重点船舶拍卖情况,干散货船舶方面,“成路”系列“成路28”、“成路29”、“成路58”散货船分别以2102.8万元、2422.4万元、3261.2万元成交成交。油运船舶方面,本月成交的油运船舶多为小型成品油船,未有大型油船成交。其他船型方面,本月有2艘集装箱船舶成交,工程类船舶成交8艘次,成交额9909万元,渔业用船和客滚类船舶分别成交5艘次和1艘次。
「拍卖成交船舶案例」
干散货类船舶
|
序号
|
船名
|
航区
|
dwt/参考载货量
|
建造年份
|
造船厂
|
起拍价
万元
|
成交价
万元
|
出价次数
|
1
|
成路28
|
无限
|
8033.4
|
2011
|
浙江
|
¥1652.8
|
¥2102.8
|
42
|
2
|
成路29
|
无限
|
8052.72
|
2012
|
浙江
|
¥1762.4
|
¥2422.4
|
33
|
3
|
成路58
|
近海
|
15995
|
2006
|
浙江
|
¥2031.2
|
¥3261.2
|
26
|
4
|
华融1
|
无限
|
56381
|
2012
|
浙江
|
¥9500
|
¥12410
|
115
|
5
|
“b85k-9”在建船舶
|
无限
|
约85000
|
2022
|
辽宁
|
$3018
|
$3603
|
36
|
6
|
josco suzhou
|
无限
|
49416
|
2004
|
江苏
|
$870
|
$1350
|
26
|
「拍卖船舶预告」
干散类船舶
|
序号
|
船名
|
航区
|
dwt/参考载货量
|
建造年份
|
造船厂
|
起拍价
万元
|
1
|
成路1
|
近海
|
7900
|
2006
|
浙江
|
¥1170.56
|
2
|
seacon 6
|
无限
|
56826
|
2012
|
浙江
|
$1480
|
多用途船
|
序号
|
船名
|
航区
|
dwt/参考载货量
|
建造年份
|
造船厂
|
起拍价
万元
|
1
|
yangze venus
|
无限
|
12094.4
|
2013
|
山东
|
$1212
|
monthly analysis of ship auction market in china
august 2021
during the summer time, high-temperature is rare in the southern region, and residential electricity has fallen. however, with the strong demand of industrial electricity, the daily consumption of power plants is still at a high level. together with the high coal price, the power plants are cautious in replenishment which leads to low coal inventory but more than july. the price of coal at ports has risen then remained stable. the freight rate of coastal dry bulk transportation rises slightly from july, meanwhile the international dry bulk market continues to increase. shipowners’ confidence is relatively high so the dry bulk market has fewer ships on sale with high price. however, the crude oil transportation market is sluggish with falling ship price. there are 63 ships auctioned in august and 39 are sold with the transaction rate of 61.9%. the total starting price is about ¥427.91m, while the total transaction price is ¥242.34m, increasing significantly.
transportation market is steadily rising so the ship owners mostly focus on operations.
the booming international dry bulk market continues to attract domestic ships which makes costal freight rates rise slightly and shipowners feel optimistic. according to data from shipbid.net, in china, the total ship auctions of august are 63, which decrease 11 mom but increases 16 yoy. among them, the bulk carriers are 18, which decrease 3 mom. the chemical & tankers are 6, which decrease 2 mom. in terms of transaction, there are 39 ships sold, which increase 5 mom, with transaction rate of 61.9%, sharply increasing from last month.
in august, the price of ship auction steadily increases. the total starting price is approximately ¥427.91m, which increases ¥50.15m mom and ¥251.15m yoy. the total transaction price is ¥242.34m, which increases ¥36.36m mom and¥77.45m yoy.
chart1 total of ship auctions in china
chart2 total price of ship auction in china
international dry bulk market remains hot, driving the coastal transportation market.
in mid-august, the international dry bulk market rose rapidly, and the bdi rebounded to the highest point since 2010. however the market is polarized: the iron ore shipping market is relatively active, with freight rates hitting new highs this year, while iron ore price is now at the lowest level since november 2020. affected by the international market, the freight rate of coastal transportation market has risen from july, and is now at a reasonable level. in the liquid cargo transportation market, demand for crude oil is relatively flat, and freight rate has declined. in september, as the mid-autumn festival and the national day approaching, downstream replenishment will increase, and the oil transportation market is expected to pick up slightly.
in terms of judicial auction, there are 34 ships auctioned in august, of which 21 are sold. the total starting price is ¥304.14m, and the total transaction price is ¥149.05m. in terms of commercial auctions, there are 29 ships auctioned, of which 18 are sold. the total starting price is ¥123.93m, the total transaction price is ¥93.74m. there is many engineering ships sold in judicial auctions and many large-tonnage bulk carriers sold in commercial auctions, both increased significantly compared with july.
followed are some specific auctions. in terms of bulk carrier, there are 3 bulk carriers of “cheng lu” sold in august, of which “cheng lu 28” sold at ¥21.028m, “cheng lu 29” sold at ¥24.224m and “cheng lu 58” sold at ¥32.612m. in terms of tanker, there are mostly small -tonnage product oil tankers traded in august. in terms of other ships, there are 2 container ships and 8 engineering ships sold with the total price of ¥99.09m, together with 5 fishery ships and only 1 ro-ro passenger ship.
samples of ship auctions
bulk carriers
|
no.
|
ship name
|
sailing area
|
dwt/
reference capacity
|
year built
|
shipyard
|
starting price
|
transaction price
|
bids
|
1
|
chenglu 28
|
unrestricted navigation
|
8033.4
|
2011
|
zhejiang
|
¥16.528m
|
¥21.028m
|
42
|
2
|
chenglu 29
|
unrestricted navigation
|
8052.72
|
2012
|
zhejiang
|
¥17.624m
|
¥24.224m
|
33
|
3
|
chenglu 58
|
coastal
|
15995
|
2006
|
zhejiang
|
¥20.312m
|
¥32.612m
|
26
|
4
|
huarong 1
|
unrestricted navigation
|
56381
|
2012
|
zhejiang
|
¥95m
|
¥124.1m
|
115
|
5
|
hull no.b85k-9
|
unrestricted navigation
|
85000
|
2022
|
liaoning
|
$30.18m
|
$36.03m
|
36
|
6
|
josco suzhou
|
unrestricted navigation
|
49416
|
2004
|
jiangsu
|
$8.7m
|
$13.5m
|
26
|
preview of ship auctions
bulk carriers
|
no.
|
ship name
|
sailing area
|
dwt/
reference capacity
|
year built
|
shipyard
|
starting price
|
1
|
chenglu 1
|
coastal
|
7900
|
2006
|
zhejiang
|
¥11.7056m
|
2
|
seacon 6
|
unrestricted navigation
|
56826
|
2012
|
zhejiang
|
$14.80m
|
multi-purpose vessels
|
no.
|
ship name
|
sailing area
|
dwt/
reference capacity
|
year built
|
shipyard
|
starting price
|
1
|
yangze venus
|
unrestricted navigation
|
12094.4
|
2013
|
shandong
|
$12.12m
|